what a fantastic chart from @kevinmuir showing how unusual this earnings season has been pic.twitter.com/L3AlvqQ5pD
— Dario Perkins (@darioperkins) May 14, 2026
contributed by Andy on May 14, 2026 in spaghetti, things that go up, outlier
At the same time, most great coaches tend to outperform win probability model expectations
— Robby (@greerreNFL) September 8, 2025
So being simply average in spots with >75% win probability may point to something pic.twitter.com/RwbuJIj5pJ
contributed by Andy on Sep 8, 2025 in VORP, things that go up
contributed by Andy on Mar 16, 2025 in group chat, sad
I just pushed a new paper to arXiv. I realized that a lot of my previous work on robust losses and nerf-y things was dancing around something simpler: a slight tweak to the classic Box-Cox power transform that makes it much more useful and stable. It's this f(x, λ) here: pic.twitter.com/GZsA8BYbEe
— Jon Barron (@jon_barron) February 18, 2025
contributed by Andy on Feb 18, 2025 in curves, future fields medalists
Something happened in year 774 that was so powerful we can measure the radioactivity in old tree rings. Best guess is a solar flare, 10 times more powerful than the Carrington Event in 1859 that zapped telegraph wires.
— Chris Hadfield (@Cmdr_Hadfield) February 14, 2025
Worth considering the effect of the next one.
Details:… pic.twitter.com/jfFRHbDwsL
contributed by Andy on Feb 14, 2025 in trees, eek
My textbook now includes an updated figure from Carter & McCullough, 2014. It's now generated from the raw data. It's a striking image. The uncorrected effect size is d = 0.62 based on 198 studies. Now, large replications later, we know the true effect size is 0. What a waste. pic.twitter.com/7DvHhFuyjK
— Daniël Lakens (@lakens) June 12, 2023
contributed by Andy on Jun 12, 2023 in hard to parse, acronyms, replication
Los Angeles compared to other cities pic.twitter.com/xsgFobICo6
— BuccoCapital Bloke (@buccocapital) May 29, 2023
contributed by Andy on May 29, 2023 in small multiples, things that go up, bloomberg
The geographic pattern of house price change in the Northeast since the pandemic began is just stunning. Demand is being pushed out of expensive places pic.twitter.com/nks3ZGpWgI
— Adam Ozimek (@ModeledBehavior) May 26, 2023
contributed by Andy on May 26, 2023 in covid, progress?, actually this is a map
Adam, a 9-yr old optimizer, is the go-to for training LLMs (eg, GPT-3, OPT, LLAMA).
— Tengyu Ma (@tengyuma) May 24, 2023
Introducing Sophia, a new optimizer that is 2x faster than Adam on LLMs. Just a few more lines of code could cut your costs from $2M to $1M (if scaling laws hold).https://t.co/GrMY600lLO 🧵⬇️ pic.twitter.com/bPLCOWcIHZ
contributed by Andy on May 24, 2023 in curves, small multiples
Another example: Take two glasses of equally sweet water and mix them together. Children of intermediate age think that the resulting solution will be sweeter than the originals! Similar results have been found for water temperature. pic.twitter.com/vf1o2ihwMj
— Chris Said (@Chris_Said) April 21, 2023
contributed by Andy on Apr 21, 2023 in curves
The Green Revolution in one chart
— Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) January 17, 2023
Food abundance is very good and underrated pic.twitter.com/9K1DzuFqy7
contributed by Andy on Jan 17, 2023 in progress, things that go up
This map shows how far you can travel from each station in Europe in less than 5 hours!
— Xavi Ruiz (@xruiztru) November 3, 2022
👉🏼 https://t.co/QLO21YSVsR
pic.twitter.com/nWqFQW2QXu
contributed by Andy on Nov 4, 2022 in actually this is a map
it looks like it really is illiteracy that made people vote PT LOL pic.twitter.com/ZtPwXao5C9
— lostzemblan (@iabvek) October 11, 2022
contributed by Andy on Nov 3, 2022 in elections, hard to parse
The shift to WFH is the largest shock to labor markets in decades. Pre-pandemic WFH was trending towards 5% of days by 2022. Now WFH is now stabilizing at 30%, a 6-fold jump.
— Nick Bloom (@I_Am_NickBloom) August 29, 2022
In America alone this is saving about 200 million hours and 6 billion miles of commuting a week. pic.twitter.com/XK4WVWXq3f
contributed by Andy on Aug 29, 2022 in covid, progress?
Models are continuing to double down on a severe, prolonged heatwave for California and surrounding states in early September.
— Colin McCarthy (@US_Stormwatch) August 28, 2022
European model now suggesting the development of a 600 dm ridge which, if occurred, could bring all-time record high September heat. Stay tuned. #CAwx pic.twitter.com/RjLZFwNP52
contributed by Andy on Aug 28, 2022 in weather, actually this is a map
contributed by Andy on Aug 16, 2022 in grimacing, nyt
contributed by Andy on Aug 15, 2022 in progress?, nyt
Finland tracks what percentage of murders were committed by men who were drunk. It has been above 50% for almost the entire time the statistics were recorded pic.twitter.com/vx8Dnf4Pz9
— Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) July 31, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jul 30, 2022 in grimacing
— Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀 (@peterwildeford) July 30, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jul 30, 2022 in things that go up, logs logs logs, progress
The U.S. lags badly in some international math tests, but in the TIMSS test we crack the top ten. Or at least we did a decade ago. pic.twitter.com/hrs8LnJ1uF
— Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 (@Noahpinion) July 29, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jul 29, 2022 in confidence intervals, progress?
On average, time spent
— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) July 19, 2022
- with family peaks at <15yo
- with friends peaks at 18
- with coworkers peaks at 30
- with children peaks at 40
- with your partner peaks at 70
- alone peaks at the end
fascinating chart (ht @Alex_Radke) pic.twitter.com/6u0aPCer6a
contributed by Andy on Jul 19, 2022 in things that go up, lifestyle choices
people drawing logos from memory pic.twitter.com/KnmKsZyC30
— sunshine ☀️ revival (@SeanMombo) July 12, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jul 16, 2022 in not actually a chart
New research shows that children of immigrants were nearly twice as likely to become rich as the children of people born in the United States.
— Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) July 12, 2022
Immigration is the key to American exceptionalism. pic.twitter.com/GP3JO1c8oO
contributed by Andy on Jul 12, 2022 in density
How remote work is changing tech pay: “As remote work has become more of an expectation in 2022, salaries have begun to converge toward the higher-tier metros” https://t.co/tEdVMi3wRf pic.twitter.com/VXtvwhoTri
— Jim Russell (@ProducerCities) July 11, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jul 11, 2022 in covid
This is one of the craziest plots I have ever seen.
— Jan Leike (@janleike) July 6, 2022
World GDP follows a power law that holds over many orders of magnitude and extrapolates to infinity (!) by 2047.
Clearly this trend can't continue forever. But whatever happens, the next 25 years are going to be pretty nuts. pic.twitter.com/NwZmW9Xphg
contributed by Andy on Jul 6, 2022 in things that go up, logs logs logs, power laws
Movies left, NIH right. 🤔
— Patrick Collison (@patrickc) July 4, 2022
(From https://t.co/0D0vA6b6jC.) pic.twitter.com/t1LxaW5HHY
contributed by Andy on Jul 4, 2022 in stripe press, progress?
This is about the weirdest temperature distribution in #NYC you'll see. A rapidly moving backdoor front (east -> west) has dropped temperatures in Queens/Bronx down to below 70F (aided by Long Island Sound). Meanwhile, it's still 90F in parts of Brooklyn/Manhattan! #nywx #nycwx pic.twitter.com/PFnu98FxhH
— Nick P Bassill (@NickPBassill) June 1, 2022
contributed by Andy on May 31, 2022 in weather, actually this is a map
In 2021 Alexa continued her reign as the most disastrously declining popular name, falling from 495th to 883rd among girls born, and shedding 46% of births, from 1281 in 2020 to just 698 in 2021. In percentage terms, no other major name fell more than 25% (which was Lauren). pic.twitter.com/EIZXYUbbyn
— Philip N Cohen (@familyunequal) May 13, 2022
contributed by Andy on May 13, 2022 in things that go up
Known reinfections had higher Ct values (indicating lower viral loads) with each variant than ones where no record of a previous symptomatic infection existed, here shown in the unvaccinated. 6/9 pic.twitter.com/QRvYQJh9GJ
— Sebastian Funk (@sbfnk@fosstodon.org) (@sbfnk) April 27, 2022
contributed by Andy on Apr 27, 2022 in covid, small multiples
Fintechs tends to have worse delinquency rates than banks in personal loans. Source: @JPMorganAM pic.twitter.com/ROslktYnib
— Snippet Finance (@SnippetFinance) March 7, 2022
contributed by Andy on Apr 18, 2022 in curves
Vaccines are the single most important tool in our fight against COVID
— Michael Mina (@michaelmina_lab) April 15, 2022
However, I’ve worried our approach using a narrow single protein mRNA Vax may limit our ability to keep up w the virus
This new data suggests it might
I’ll explain
1/ pic.twitter.com/G4RU3Y8qo1
contributed by Andy on Apr 15, 2022 in covid, small multiples, logs logs logs
Isn't Japan somewhat unique since a significant amount of land (major cities esp) is "leasehold," held by the same families for generations. Lessors (users) build for short-term use, maybe a generation or 20 years before expected teardown, and
— Rob Frances (@RFrances2) April 7, 2022
Japan's population is shrinking: pic.twitter.com/2ApBe5OOfs
contributed by Andy on Apr 7, 2022 in curves
Real wages and real disposable income aren't a great way of summing up what the purchasing power is of consumers. If you back that chart up to the great financial crisis: pic.twitter.com/zHSU4h8qBG
— Nate DiCamillo (@Nate_DiCamillo) April 5, 2022
contributed by Andy on Apr 5, 2022 in fred, hmmm
Below is the cumulative amount of progress from first grade to twelfth by percentile:
— Alex (@notcomplex_) February 11, 2024
As you can see there is a lot of progress for the best students into and throughout high school. The students in the first percentile don't meaningfully improve their scores after fifth grade. pic.twitter.com/WG5FLepi6C
contributed by Andy on Mar 28, 2022 in time, height and weight
Two bits of good Covid news today in the UK.
— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) February 11, 2022
First, adding another two weeks of ONS data means Covid’s infection fatality rate has now crossed below the "2x flu" line.
Latest IFR is roughly 60% higher than flu and still falling. pic.twitter.com/KEVdmZejLl
contributed by Andy on Feb 11, 2022 in logs logs logs, height weight
For a given ATAR low SES students tend to do slightly better academically in first year. A number of earlier studies have found the same thing. 2/ 7 https://t.co/vyDbLj3RHm pic.twitter.com/rKxAGxgbDf
— Andrew Norton (@andrewjnorton) October 6, 2021
contributed by Andy on Feb 2, 2022 in hard to parse
Animal welfare is basically chicken welfare pic.twitter.com/c4HUoDjLuA
— Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) January 27, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jan 27, 2022 in hmmm
These epidemics have proceeded in a similar fashion across states with initial rapid exponential growth that slowed as epidemics grew in size. It appears that states are largely on the same curve, just some are farther ahead on this curve compared to others. 4/9 pic.twitter.com/AxpZCC7Am2
— Trevor Bedford (@trvrb) January 20, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jan 19, 2022 in phase space, covid
Whooooooosh.
— Colin Angus (@VictimOfMaths) January 17, 2022
Can't get enough of this sort of thing. pic.twitter.com/0clunG4tyw
contributed by Andy on Jan 17, 2022 in covid, phase space
Big study of ~70k Covid cases showing Omicron's far lower severity of outcomes vs Delta
— Mike Bird (@Birdyword) January 12, 2022
Symptomatic hospitalisation -53%
Median hospital stay length -70%
ICU admission -74%
Mortality -91%
Major effects among both vaccinated and unvaccinated patients.https://t.co/xxxlYanRVL pic.twitter.com/3fsdd1OLIR
contributed by Andy on Jan 11, 2022 in covid, small multiples, confidence intervals
2021 High/Low Temperature summary for the contiguous United States:
— NWS Weather Prediction Center (@NWSWPC) January 7, 2022
Coldest: -51F at Bottineau, ND 🥶
Hottest: 130F Death Valley, CA 🥵
Most days as Nation's cold spot: Peter Sinks, UT (100 days)
Most days as Nation's hot spot: Death Valley, CA (117 days) pic.twitter.com/PknT3L2vx4
contributed by Andy on Jan 7, 2022 in weather
33. Oliver's presentation includes this slide, which shows that as with older groups, vaccine efficacy in 12-15 yos (red line) declines over time. pic.twitter.com/G20EXXvIX7
— Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 (@HelenBranswell) January 5, 2022
contributed by Andy on Jan 5, 2022 in covid
Fig 5B: repeat w/ live Omicron previous pseudotype study findings that Om does not induce cell syncytia (cell-cell fusion, which is highly pathogenic/inflammatory).
— Devan Sinha (@DevanSinha) December 30, 2021
Fig 5D: confirm much reduced lung epithelial replication (an order of magnitude).
All-in-all Om looks distinct. pic.twitter.com/IJXuEHjZV2
contributed by Andy on Dec 30, 2021 in covid, logs logs logs
Almost all the area under the viral load curve is above the antigen test threshold and the viral culture threshold.
— Chris Said (@Chris_Said) December 29, 2021
I realize this alone is not dispositive, but the blog post has more.https://t.co/FdBZfs3wtM pic.twitter.com/6eOkTQpEPx
contributed by Andy on Dec 29, 2021 in logs logs logs, animation
New from today's @UKHSA report is the finding that Omicron has faster vaccine effectiveness waning vs symptomatic infection than Delta (N for Moderna small)https://t.co/viVjY37rNQ which is a replication of what has been seen in Israel @BarakRaveh pic.twitter.com/ynNM0DlRkv
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) December 23, 2021
contributed by Andy on Dec 23, 2021 in covid, small multiples
In neutralization assays, @BalazsLab observes only a 4-fold or 6-fold reduction in titer going from wild-type to Omicron after booster relative to 43-fold or 122-fold after initial mRNA vaccine series (https://t.co/EuHC1fuHWP). 4/14 pic.twitter.com/AidMZkxzUd
— Trevor Bedford (@trvrb) December 20, 2021
contributed by Andy on Dec 20, 2021 in covid, small multiples
This study gives one of the most powerful illustrations of technical progress: our increasing laziness.
— Ethan Mollick (@emollick) December 10, 2021
Throughout the world, as countries developed, the average worker went from spending 50% of their life working in 1856 to around 20% working in 1981. https://t.co/8gs8FWx5Pq pic.twitter.com/5kk6L54hxy
contributed by Andy on Dec 18, 2021 in progress
Coming to a town near you pic.twitter.com/aS4bsOKblP
— Theo Sanderson (@theosanderson) December 17, 2021
contributed by Andy on Dec 18, 2021 in covid, animation
71.9% of cases in London with specimens from 13 December were Omicron.
— Theo Sanderson (@theosanderson) December 16, 2021
Overall London cases are already reaching the maximum values ever seen in the pandemic. pic.twitter.com/CJF5kQqBpl
contributed by Andy on Dec 17, 2021 in covid, logs logs logs
Under existing control measures, we project a wave of infections resulting from Omicron that exceeds the January 2021 levels, for all four scenarios.
— Dr Rosanna C Barnard (she/her) (@BarnardResearch) December 11, 2021
In the optimistic scenario, hospital admissions are projected to remain below Jan 2021 levels. pic.twitter.com/LpZIp4NQxA
contributed by Andy on Dec 11, 2021 in small multiples, covid, simulation