what a fantastic chart from @kevinmuir showing how unusual this earnings season has been pic.twitter.com/L3AlvqQ5pD
— Dario Perkins (@darioperkins) May 14, 2026
contributed by Andy on May 14, 2026 in spaghetti, things that go up, outlier
At the same time, most great coaches tend to outperform win probability model expectations
— Robby (@greerreNFL) September 8, 2025
So being simply average in spots with >75% win probability may point to something pic.twitter.com/RwbuJIj5pJ
contributed by Andy on Sep 8, 2025 in VORP, things that go up

contributed by Andy on Mar 16, 2025 in group chat, sad
I just pushed a new paper to arXiv. I realized that a lot of my previous work on robust losses and nerf-y things was dancing around something simpler: a slight tweak to the classic Box-Cox power transform that makes it much more useful and stable. It's this f(x, λ) here: pic.twitter.com/GZsA8BYbEe
— Jon Barron (@jon_barron) February 18, 2025
contributed by Andy on Feb 18, 2025 in curves, future fields medalists
Something happened in year 774 that was so powerful we can measure the radioactivity in old tree rings. Best guess is a solar flare, 10 times more powerful than the Carrington Event in 1859 that zapped telegraph wires.
— Chris Hadfield (@Cmdr_Hadfield) February 14, 2025
Worth considering the effect of the next one.
Details:… pic.twitter.com/jfFRHbDwsL
contributed by Andy on Feb 14, 2025 in trees, eek