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@SmootPete
contributed by Andy on Jul 30, 2022 in things that go up, logs logs logs, progress?

This is one of the craziest plots I have ever seen. World GDP follows a power law that holds over many orders of magnitude and extrapolates to infinity (!) by 2047. Clearly this trend can't continue forever. But whatever happens, the next 25 years are going to be pretty nuts.
contributed by Andy on Jul 6, 2022 in things that go up, logs logs logs, power laws

Vaccines are the single most important tool in our fight against COVID However, I’ve worried our approach using a narrow single protein mRNA Vax may limit our ability to keep up w the virus This new data suggests it might I’ll explain 1/
contributed by Andy on Apr 15, 2022 in covid, small multiples, logs logs logs

Two bits of good Covid news today in the UK. First, adding another two weeks of ONS data means Covid’s infection fatality rate has now crossed below the "2x flu" line. Latest IFR is roughly 60% higher than flu and still falling.
contributed by Andy on Feb 11, 2022 in logs logs logs, height and weight

Fig 5B: repeat w/ live Omicron previous pseudotype study findings that Om does not induce cell syncytia (cell-cell fusion, which is highly pathogenic/inflammatory). Fig 5D: confirm much reduced lung epithelial replication (an order of magnitude). All-in-all Om looks distinct.
contributed by Andy on Dec 30, 2021 in covid, logs logs logs
gif@NateSilver538 Almost all the area under the viral load curve is above the antigen test threshold and the viral culture threshold. I realize this alone is not dispositive, but the blog post has more. https://t.co/FdBZfs3wtM
contributed by Andy on Dec 29, 2021 in logs logs logs, animation

71.9% of cases in London with specimens from 13 December were Omicron. Overall London cases are already reaching the maximum values ever seen in the pandemic.
contributed by Andy on Dec 17, 2021 in covid, logs logs logs

I wanted to share one more figure from the #Omicron pre-print that I think offers some additional support for the idea that mRNA boosting doesn't just increase the total neutralizing response but instead "broadens" it to enable Omicron neuralization:
contributed by Andy on Dec 11, 2021 in covid, logs logs logs

Worth noting that launch cost per kilogram to Low Earth Orbit (LEO) had stagnated for 30+ years before SpaceX and other private rocket companies came along.
contributed by Andy on Nov 15, 2021 in space, logs logs logs
end of the notebook.